German fear of war

 By Milton Lima

16-03-2025

Why we forget of things important? Our minds need to be clear when we think about life in general. Our childhood, our friends, our schools, our culture and our community are the beginning of everything.

Reading a German newspaper this Sunday (16-03-2025), I see that many people are afraid that the war in Ukraine will spread. And this fear is placed before the main question: why is this war happening?

The fear of security that surrounds the German people is related to both Europe and the world, especially after the return of Donald Trump to power in the US. Trump has abandoned Europe and become an ally of Putin's Russia. This context will help us more later when we talk about the new world order.

According to the Institute Strategy Superior and the Institute Allensbach, between the years 2021 and 2025, the figure related to security will go from 81% in 2021 to 61% in 2025; follow this relationship, as the country had an election a few days ago, in which the AfD did very well.

What would the fear of a military conflict in Germany remind people of? How does it resemble the war in Ukraine?

There are two main issues: the fear of the German people and the war in Ukraine. The first is the Western narrative that Russia will invade Europe after Trump leaves Ukraine. The second narrative is the constant need to be able to defend itself against Russia, which Ukraine was unable to do and had to ask the US for help.

According to a report in Welt am Sonntag, the German people could be approaching the sleepwalking[1] reality of the Second World War. Back then, few could see what was happening. At the moment it seems that the German people are definitely worried that they won't be able to sleep peacefully with the threat of an expansion of the war in which Russia could invade Germany.

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[1] Metapher des Historikers Christopher Clark.

To understand the changes in the pieces on the geopolitical chessboard of modernity, we need to understand the dynamics of systemic evolution. The relationship between the memory of the German people and their perspective involves a text I wrote here earlier. And this change has a lot to do with what this chart above shows in relation to the growth of the far right in Germany, a party with clear democratic distinctions. Although the election of Friedrich Merz seems to have slowed down the growth of the far right, in the same proportion as the protests, the fact of the war in Ukraine, the withdrawal of the USA from the conflict with its military aid, raises another problem.

Friedrich Merz appears in the Welt am Sonntag alongside the German public's fears of a possible escalation of the war in Ukraine. In order to control this fear, he would be willing to reform the country's public debt, which had been under control but is suddenly becoming a problem again, as the Chancellor wants to borrow billions to calm the German public's fears.

Between fear and peace:

“Trump and his loyal Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, have decided to reshape—or more accurately, abandon—the U.S. global strategy. In their new vision, European security is now entirely Europe’s problem, and NATO expansion has become more outdated than golf courses in Florida. As the U.S. pivots toward the Indo-Pacific (read: China), Washington is effectively offering Russia massive rewards without expecting anything in return”.